Unexpected Election Results
In Canada, we had two recent provincial elections where the polls right before the election predicted a win for the wrong party. How could this happen?
~ Roedy (1948-02-04 age:69)
- If there is electronic voting, it could be fraud, especially if there are many squeaker contests.
- Polls can convince some people not to vote since they are complacent that their candidate will win anyway.
- Polls measure the opinions of people who answer land line phones during the day. These are not necessarily the same people who vote.
- People are more willing to complain about the government to a pollster than they are to vote them out.