The Extinction of Coal

• There is absolutely no growth in coal usage.
• The three million new Americans born each year will use no coal whatsoever directly or indirectly in their lives.
• Coal won’t take up any slack as oil gets more expensive and rare.
• America will refuse to sell coal to China.
• No coal will be used to generate the electricity to charge the batteries of the coming electric cars.

• Historically growth in coal consumption has run at 2.86% per year.
• The population of the USA grows at 1.1% per year.
• You expect coal use to increase as oil prices rise or concerns about vulnerability to foreign oil take hold. Coal is used primarily for making electricity. It is burned to make steam that drives electric generators.
• As the USA converts to electric cars, it will need coal to generate the electricity to power them since there is no other power source ready.
• The USA has the more coal than any other country. It is only natural that the USA will preferentially use domestic energy sources.

  Top coal reserves

  Top Coal Reserves
  Country	%
  USA	27.1%
  Russian Federation	17.3%
  China	12.6%
  India	10.2%
  Australia	8.6%

• As other energy sources dwindle, there will be huge political pressures to use still more coal to enable the USA to retain military superpower status.
• The Chinese will be pounding at the doorstep with truckloads of cash wanting to buy all the coal the USA will sell it.
• Clean coal is illusive. The problem is it takes about 1/3 of the electicity generated to sequester the CO₂ generated. This makes clean coal-fired electric power quite expensive. The Norwegians are sequestering CO₂ from burning natural gas. Going to clean coal will consume the coal reserves much faster just to get the same energy.
• On the other paw, by some miracle, Americans could awaken to the fact that burning all that coal will, through the global warming CO₂ emissions, heat the planet so hot it will kill nearly every living thing and wisely decide to leave the coal in the ground.

The bottom line is the more you rely on coal, the sooner you will run out of it. This should be too obvious to mention, but the energy lobby have tricked the public into ignoring the effect of increased demand.

How are the Calculations Done?

Dr. Albert Bartlett

DVDs (Digital Video Discs) of the talk, Arithmetic, Population and Energy by Professor Emeritus Albert A. Bartlett of the Department of Physics and the book, The Essential Exponential for the Future of our Planet are available from the General Book Department of the University of Colorado Bookstore. This book contains reprints of Prof. Bartlett’s papers on exponential arithmetic, energy, population and sustainability. More information is available online, CUBookstore.com CU Bookstore, Campus Box 36, Boulder, CO, 80309-0036
Phone (303) 492-7599; Fax: (303) 492-0420; Toll Free, (800) 255-9168

• DVD (Digital Video Disc) Price: $12 plus shipping and handling
• Book Price: $18 plus shipping and handling

Papers can be downloaded from the website: AlBartlett.org
The talk, Arithmetic, Population and Energy  can be seen in eight parts on YouTube.

If you don’t trust the formula or the Java program, write yourself a spreadsheet to cross check my program that calculates the amount of coal consumed and amount left in, year 1, year 2 etc. You only need elementary school math for that.

There is no such thing as clean coal. It is a marketing lie. It refers to capturing the noxious substances from the gases as coal burns in a lab. It has never been done commercially.
~ Roedy (1948-02-04 age:70)

Papers

• Democracy Cannot Survive Overpopulation
• Sustainability
• Australian Resource Depletion: more sophisticated mathematics to calculate how long coal will last.
• Optimum Population Trust

Trouble Shooting

Java Requirements and Troubleshooting

Coal is a Java Applet (that can also be run as an application) to Coal Extinction Calculator. You are welcome to install it on your own website. If it does not work…

1. If Copy/Paste (Ctrl-C/Ctrl-V) do not work, you can turn them back on by modifying your java.policy file. This is not for the novice or faint of heart. instructions Your alternative is to download this program and run it without a browser.
2. In the Java Control Panel security tab, click Start ⇒ Control Panel ⇒ Programs ⇒ Java ⇒ Security, configure medium security to allow self-signed and vanilla unsigned applets to run. If medium is not available, or if Java security is blocking you from running the program, configure high security and add http://mindprod.com to the Exception Site List at the bottom of the security tab.
3. Often problems can be fixed simply by clicking the reload button on your browser.
4. Make sure you have both JavaScript and Java enabled in your browser.
5. Make sure the Java in your browser is enabled in the security tab of the Java Control panel. Click Start ⇒ Control Panel ⇒ Programs ⇒ Java ⇒ Security ⇒ Enable Java Content in the browser.
6. This Java Applet (that can also be run as an application) needs 32-bit or 64-bit Java 1.8 or later. For best results use the latest 1.8.0_131 Java.
7. You also need a recent browser.
8. It works under any operating system that supports Java e.g. W2K, XP, W2003, Vista, W2008, W7-32, W7-64, W8-32, W8-64, W2012, W10-32, W10-64, Linux, LinuxARM, LinuxX86, LinuxX64, Ubuntu, Solaris, SolarisSPARC, SolarisSPARC64, SolarisX86, SolarisX64 and OSX
9. You should see the Applet hybrid above looking much like this screenshot. If you don’t, the following hints should help you get it working:
10. Especially if this Applet hybrid has worked before, try clearing the browser cache and rebooting.
11. To ensure your Java is up to date, check with Wassup. First, download it and run it as an application independent of your browser, then run it online as an Applet to add the complication of your browser.
12. If the above Applet hybrid does not work, check the Java console for error messages.
13. If the above Applet hybrid does not work, you might have better luck with the downloadable version available below.
14. If you are using Mac OS X and would like an improved Look and Feel, download the QuaQua look & feel from randelshofer.ch/quaqua. UnZip the contained quaqua.jar and install it in ~/Library/Java/Extensions or one of the other ext dirs.
15. Upgrade to the latest version of Internet Explorer or another browser.
16. Click the Information bar, and then click Allow blocked content. Unfortunately, this also allows dangerous ActiveX code to run. However, you must do this in order to get access to perfectly-safe Java Applets running in a sandbox. This is part of Microsoft’s war on Java.
17. Try upgrading to a more recent version of your browser, or try a different browser e.g. Firefox, SeaMonkey, IE or Avant.
18. If you still can’t get the program working click the red HELP button below for more detail.
19. If you can’t get the above Applet hybrid working after trying the advice above and from the red HELP button below, have bugs to report or ideas to improve the program or its documentation, please send me an email at.

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Acquiring the Program

Download information for Coal

Package	Version	Released	Licence	Language	Notes
Coal	1.0	2009-11-29	free	Java	❘ precis ❘ screenshot ❘ browse source repository for the current version of Coal. Calculates how long coal will last in the USA given various rates of growth in use. 436K zip for Coal Java source, compiled class files, jar and documentation to run on your own machine either as an application or an Applet. Runs on any OS that supports Java e.g. W2K, XP, W2003, Vista, W2008, W7-32, W7-64, W8-32, W8-64, W2012, W10-32, W10-64, Linux, LinuxARM, LinuxX86, LinuxX64, Ubuntu, Solaris, SolarisSPARC, SolarisSPARC64, SolarisX86, SolarisX64 and OSX. First install the most recent Java. To install, extract the zip download with WinZip, (or similar unzip utility) into any directory you please, often J:\ — ticking off the use folder names option. To check out the corresponding source from the Subversion repository, use the TortoiseSVN repo-browser to access coal source in repository with [Tortoise] Subversion client on wush.net/svn/mindprod/com/mindprod/coal/. After you have installed the jar, you can run it as an application. Type: java -jar J:\com\mindprod\coal\coal.jar adjusting as necessary to account for where the jar file is. download ASP PAD XML program description for the current version of Coal. $1989.00 US donated so far. If the CMP utilities solved your problem, please donate a buck or two, or donate to one of the charities featured in the footer public service ads throughout the website and get a tax receipt. Coal is free. Full source included. You may even include the source code, modified or unmodified in free/commercial open source/proprietary programs that you write and distribute. Non-military use only.

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